Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.596035 1.843889 2.116513 2.438502 2.808304 3.219640 3.711839
2025-04-13 1.154791 1.453553 1.810170 2.266788 2.835605 3.520601 4.408096
2025-04-20 0.947131 1.284785 1.717557 2.311950 3.106345 4.130802 5.552097
2025-04-27 0.813396 1.179776 1.680183 2.411802 3.452636 4.878826 6.980812
2025-05-04 0.695016 1.071340 1.615843 2.458303 3.726395 5.561534 8.417359
2025-05-11 0.595539 0.970717 1.542999 2.475471 3.953152 6.200521 9.874836
2025-05-18 0.497643 0.854436 1.426057 2.403278 4.027428 6.613559 11.038715
2025-05-25 0.410508 0.740005 1.292692 2.280892 3.997836 6.850914 11.943697
2025-06-01 0.359297 0.677611 1.234726 2.273028 4.152450 7.400709 13.428851
2025-06-08 0.310988 0.612211 1.161107 2.225086 4.227044 7.817842 14.730536
2025-06-15 0.293303 0.600712 1.182087 2.350530 4.628695 8.856338 17.273091
2025-06-22 0.269162 0.572701 1.167650 2.405668 4.903330 9.691859 19.536738
2025-06-29 0.240562 0.532405 1.125909 2.405936 5.080631 10.383065 21.649917
2025-07-06 0.203820 0.469160 1.028957 2.280079 4.987185 10.535004 22.714775
2025-07-13 0.189488 0.452436 1.026477 2.352645 5.316574 11.580488 25.754767
2025-07-20 0.180165 0.445526 1.044091 2.471388 5.761429 12.921365 29.596521
2025-07-27 0.167235 0.428037 1.035487 2.529591 6.079312 14.028763 33.070360
2025-08-03 0.153460 0.406224 1.013675 2.553673 6.321746 14.998537 36.357899
2025-08-10 0.135707 0.371468 0.955975 2.483009 6.330093 15.436676 38.468412
2025-08-17 0.117407 0.332181 0.881252 2.358799 6.189686 15.507086 39.705676
2025-08-24 0.107189 0.312883 0.854177 2.351963 6.341655 16.295503 42.798887
2025-08-31 0.096199 0.289616 0.813381 2.303152 6.378755 16.805438 45.257442
2025-09-07 0.093832 0.290615 0.837657 2.433384 6.906640 18.616105 51.292222